Italy vs Belgium UEFA Nations League Match Breakdown, Stats and Prediction

Galloway Josh
24.09.2026
87
Italy vs Belgium Prediction
  • Italy will host Belgium in a Nations League Group A1 match at the Olimpico Stadium in Rome, with kick-off at 19:45 BST. 
  • Both teams are in a difficult group alongside Turkey and France, so this match is important.
  • This match will see the return of former Italy head coach Roberto Mancini as he enters his second spell in charge of the national team. 
  • Belgium enter this match after a strong showing in the 2026 World Cup, where they reached the quarter-finals before losing to eventual winners Spain. 

Head-to-Head Stats and Form Guide

Italy’s recent form is decent, as they have gone four games without a loss, and have only conceded one goal in that time. Looking back over 26 matches between these sides, the advantage goes to the Italians. Italy have come out on top 17 times while Belgium have won four with five draws. Italy have scored 50 goals in those matches, compared to Belgium’s 28. Italy are unbeaten against Belgium in the last five games, only drawing once in that time. Belgium’s last win against Italy came in 2015 in a friendly match. 

Our Match Prediction and Betting Tips

Belgium had a strong showing at the recent World Cup, where they showed they can score goals, but it was defensively that let them down. Italy are strong defensively and have their home support behind them in Rome. This will be an interesting encounter, which we expect Italy to edge. Betting prediction: an Italy win at odds of 13/10.  

Author Galloway Josh

Josh brings years of experience in sports betting, delivering reliable forecasts for the major matches. He shares practical guides and expert tips to help you maximize your winnings